Table 3. Prediction score model converted from the multivariable model in predicting dengue cases

Category Coefficient 95% CI Score
Dengue cases lag 1-4 weeks
 < 112 Reference
 ≥ 112 - < 228 0.11 1.026 -1.212 11
 ≥ 228 - <362 -0.02 0.880 -1.098 -2
 ≥ 362 -0.02 0.851 - 1.126 -2
Dengue cases lag 5-8 weeks
 < 112 Reference
 ≥ 112 - < 228 0.03 0.954 - 1.120 3
 ≥ 228 - <362 -0.11 0.801 -0.996 -11
 ≥ 362 -0.19 0.722 – 0.956 -19
Dengue cases lag 9-12 weeks
 < 112 Reference
 ≥ 112 - < 228 0.01 0.939 - 1.096 1
 ≥ 228 - <362 -0.13 0.783 – 0.984 -13
 ≥ 362 -0.14 0.753 -1.011 -14
Wind speed lag 5-8 weeks (m/s)
 < 2.75 Reference
 ≥ 2.75 - < 3.28 -0.07 0.888 – 0.989 -7
 ≥ 3.28 - < 3.78 -0.15 0.802 -0.924 -15
 ≥ 3.78 -0.17 0.754 -0.938 -17
Wind speed lag 9-12 weeks (m/s)
 < 2.75 Reference
 ≥ 2.75 - < 3.28 -0.01 0.946 - 1.046 -1
 ≥ 3.28 - < 3.78 -0.04 0.902 - 1.031 -4
 ≥ 3.78 -0.18 0.753 - 0.928 -18
Rainfall lag 1-4 weeks (mm)
 < 27.97 Reference
 ≥ 27.97 - < 53.18 -0.08 0.879 – 0.978 -8
 ≥ 53.18 - < 79.68 -0.15 0.808 - 0.918 -15
 ≥ 79.68 -0.17 0.778 - 0.921 -17
Rainfall lag 5-8 weeks (mm)
 < 27.97 Reference
 ≥ 27.97 - < 53.18 0.03 0.975 - 1.095 3
 ≥ 53.18 - < 79.68 -0.02 0.920 - 1.050 -2
 ≥ 79.68 -0.18 0.765 -0.914 -18
Rainfall lag 9-12 weeks (mm)
 < 27.97 Reference
 ≥ 27.97 - < 53.18 -0.08 1.020 - 1.143 -8
 ≥ 53.18 - < 79.68 -0.01 0.941 - 1.080 -1
 ≥ 79.68 -0.16 0.775 – 0.935 -16